Time: 607 PM Fri July 30, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S HAVE TRANSITIONED TO MESSAGE 2'S AND WILL REMAIN VALID UNTIL 9PM SATURDAY
-Message 1's have transitioned to Message 2's at 6pm to coincide with the NWS Flash Flood Watch. Message 2's/NWS Flash Flood Watch will remain valid until 9:00pm Saturday.
-Strong, slow moving thunderstorms have developed over the District this afternoon and are expected to persist well into the evening. Moisture levels are expected to be higher than at any point this season and storms that develop today and tomorrow will be very capable of producing heavy rainfall that will lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding.
-The greatest threat for heavy rain from thunderstorms will be through about 10pm or midnight then rain showers may be capable of producing up to 1"/hr or higher rainfall rates overnight absent of any thunder.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.6-1.8" of heavy rain in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm will have the potential to produce up to 3.5" in 45-60 minutes. Storms that persist beyond 60 minutes may produce locally higher amounts.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY Current TO 900 PM SATURDAY

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (85%) to 1.8" (65%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/