Time: 230 PM Thu May 25, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 9:30pm.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours and move through the District into the evening. Elevated surface moisture levels with dew points in the upper 40’s to around 50 will result in thunderstorms that develop today having the potential to produce brief heavy rainfall that may result in excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding. Strong thunderstorms may also contain hail and gusty winds. Generally, one round of thunderstorms is expected but some areas may experience a couple of rounds of storms.

After 9:30pm the thunderstorm activity is expected to have moved east of the District with additional lighter rain showers remaining possible until around midnight.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.4-1.0” in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow moving strong thunderstorm or a large thunderstorm may result in up to 1.8” of rain in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Arvada 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
the City of Aurora 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Arapahoe County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Denver County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
DIA 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Adams County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Douglas County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Broomfield County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Jefferson County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM
Boulder County 1 230 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 830 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Denver 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson 300 PM TO 930 PM
0.1" (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 930 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 930 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/