Time: 628 PM Wed July 19, 2023 Forecaster: Laura Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8:00 PM
Message 1’s will be allowed to expire at 8:00PM as the threat of heavy rain has come to an end.

A few showers and a weak thunderstorm or two will be possible over the next few hours as the tail end of today’s disturbance continues eastward. If any storms develop, they are expected to favor southern portions of the District through 10:00PM. Quick storm motions from west to east, between 25-35 mph will limit any point rainfall amounts.

Overnight lows will remain in the low to mid 60’s across most of the District.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers will produce a trace to 0.20” total, in 10-30 minutes. A weak thunderstorm could produce 0.20-0.40” total, in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate to strong thunderstorm has the potential to produce up to 0.80” total, in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (35%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (35%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (35%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%) NONE
Denver Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (35%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (35%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/