Time: 635 AM Thu May 11, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 2'S HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 2's have been issued for the entire District effective from 6am this morning valid until 6am Thursday, May 12, 2023.

An active day expected weather wise as widespread moderate to heavy rain showers impact the District today, this evening, and through the overnight tonight. Currently temperatures are relatively cool, resulting in just typical rain showers currently. As the day progresses, and there’s a bit more daytime heating, there will be a better chance for impactful rain showers across the District this afternoon, evening and overnight. This has resulted in the issuance of a Flood Watch for the entirety of the District effective now, through 6am Thursday, May, 12th.

Elevated moisture both at the surface and aloft today will result in efficient rain producing showers and thunderstorms. The storm motions currently SE to NW and will shift through the day becoming N to S later today and into this evening. Storm motions will be generally between 5-15mph, however training of heavy rain showers bringing over 1" per hour rainfall rates, or an anchored/slow moving shower/thunderstorm will bring the biggest threat for heavy rainfall today, this evening and through the overnight. Off and on rain showers are likely to continue into Friday, although the threat of heavy rainfall is minimal at this time.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers will produce 0.2-0.5" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong/slower moving or stationary thunderstorm, or training of rain showers/thunderstorms may result in heavy rainfall rates of up to 3.0" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Arvada 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Wheat Ridge 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Broomfield County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Douglas County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Adams County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Denver County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
DIA 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Arapahoe County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
the City of Aurora 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Jefferson County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY
Boulder County 2 Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY Current TO 600 AM FRIDAY

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (100%) to 0.5" (75%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (80%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (80%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 600 AM FRI
0.2" (80%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/