Time: 940 AM Sun August 6, 2023 Forecaster: Laura Smith

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING
Cooler temperatures are expected for most of the District today following last night’s cold front. A broad stratus deck has developed across the area, resulting in mostly overcast skies this morning. Cloud cover is expected through the afternoon, with patches of sun possible. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely this afternoon through evening.

Dew points will reach the low 50s today, with PWAT values between 0.85” to 0.95”. While these conditions would normally support higher potential 30-minute rainfall amounts, cooler temperatures and cloud cover will help limit storm development across the District. Thunderstorm activity is expected to subside across the Front Range Urban Corridor by this evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical thunderstorms will produce rainfall of 0.10”-0.25” total in 10-30 minutes. Strong storms have the potential to produce heavy rainfall of 0.25” to 0.50” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Anchored thunderstorms have the potential to produce 0.50” to 1.50” in 60 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Warmer temperatures are expected tomorrow as the heat dome over the Desert Southwest begins to expand into the Four Corners region again. Afternoon temperatures will reach the low to mid 80s with isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Warmer and dryer conditions move into the state Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 80s under mostly sunny skies with a slight chance for isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The warming trend continues into the remainder of the week with sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Arapahoe 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Broomfield 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Denver 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/