Time: 652 PM Tue July 19, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8PM
-Message 1's issued for Adams, Arapahoe, Denver, Douglas and Jefferson Counties will be allowed to expire at 8:00pm.
-Briefly strong thunderstorms impacted portions of the District earlier this afternoon producing isolated areas of moderate to briefly heavy rainfall. Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished currently with possibly a few light rain showers re-developing into the early overnight period.
-A thunderstorm complex over western CO, should it survive will result in rain showers and possibly a weak thunderstorm developing after sunset into the early morning hours on Wednesday. Heavy rainfall is not expected from overnight shower activity should it develop.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate to briefly strong thunderstorm is able to develop overnight with the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.3-0.9" in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Denver Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (25%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (25%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 400 AM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/