Time: 610 PM Fri July 2, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S CONTINUE VALID FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's will continue valid over the entire District through 9:00pm this evening.
-Moderate to strong thunderstorms are currently just to the NW and SW of the District currently. Thunderstorms should they develop over the next few hours will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall as ample surface moisture in is place with dew points currently in the 57-61 range.
-Surface temperatures have peaked and the strength of potential storms is now a little lower than had storms developed during hours of maximum heating. Upper level steering winds are from NW to SE at around 10mph. Best chances for thunderstorm activity is through 8:30pm.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.4" of rain in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall rates of 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Training of thunderstorm cells or a large slow moving strong thunderstorm may result in very heavy rainfall of up to 2.4" in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (100%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (85%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (100%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (100%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (100%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (100%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/