Time: 556 PM Tue July 12, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN AREAS OF THE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for Adams, Arapahoe and Denver Counties and will be valid until 9:00 PM.
-Colliding outflow boundaries has resulted in thunderstorm activity east of I-25 over portions of Adams, Arapahoe and Denver Counties. These storms are currently strengthening and may produce heavy rainfall as well as large hail and gusty winds.
-Thunderstorms may remain nearly stationary before being carried away by upper level winds. Otherwise storms will generally move from NW to SE at around 20mph. Best chances for strong to severe thunderstorms will be over the next couple hours.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.4-1.0" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving strong thunderstorm or briefly anchored thunderstorm may result in up to 1.6" of heavy rainfall in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM 615 PM TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM 615 PM TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM 615 PM TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM 615 PM TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM 615 PM TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (100%) to 0.4" (75%) to 1.0" (40%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.0" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.0" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (15%) MOD
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.0" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (40%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (40%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM TUE
0.1" (40%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/