Time: 139 AM Thu June 22, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S HAVE BEEN EXTENDED AND MESSAGE 2'S CONTINUE VALID FOR THE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been extended until 6am as the threat of heavy rainfall remains across the District. Message 2’s will continue valid until 6am as well.

Persistent storm development continues at this time. These storms will likely continue over the next several hours with isolated rain showers possible through daybreak. Storms have weakened quite a bit from the afternoon and evening severe storms. However, elevated surface moisture with dew points still in the 50’s, combined with continued upper-level support, storms will continue to impact several areas over the District. These storms still contain moderate to heavy rainfall, with some stronger storms just off the perimeter of the District, which can create additional gust fronts through the overnight resulting in a chance for additional strong storm development within the District.

Heavy rainfall from thunderstorms will easily produce excessive runoff roadways and may result in flash flooding within the District. Due to snow melt and recent rains many creeks and streams are already running relatively high and additional rainfall will exacerbate flows as the day progresses.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.4" of rain. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A nearly stationary strong thunderstorm may result in up to 2.4" of rain
in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Douglas County 2 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Adams County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Denver County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
DIA 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Arvada 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 600 AM Current TO 500 AM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 600 AM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/