Time: 1215 PM Fri July 26, 2024 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE UNTIL10:00 PM
Storms have already started to impact areas along the foothills just outside of the District where a few moderate showers have already produced rainfall rates between 0.30”-0.50” in 10-15 minutes. The best chance for storm activity today will begin over the next hour with a chance for storms lasting into the evening hours. Storm motions will generally be west to east between 10-20mph, with some erratic storm motions likely from outflow boundaries. This will result in some storms having the potential to anchor in place supporting clustering thunderstorms with a threat for moderate to heavy rainfall. A quick 0.50”-0.80” in 10-20 minutes is expected, along with the possibility for over 1.0” of rain per hour if a stronger storm stalls over the District. Storms today may also contain hail up to 1.0”, gusty winds up to 50mph and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. A slight chance of showers lingers through midnight, although the threat of heavy rainfall will likely subside by 10pm this evening. A few off and on showers may persist through midnight with skies gradually clearing overnight tonight. Overnight temperatures will drop into the low 60s for the plains with mid to upper 50s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers will produce 0.05-0.30" total in 10-30 minutes. A moderate to strong thunderstorm will produce rainfall rates of 0.30”-0.60” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow-moving thunderstorm, training of thunderstorms cells or a large thunderstorm complex may result in up to 1.25” of rain in 30-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.05" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/