Time: 745 AM Thu August 6, 2020 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

WARM TODAY WITH A CHANCE FOR A HIGH-BASED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVE RAIN SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
-NW flow aloft will turn westerly today which will bring in drier air both at the surface and upper-level. This will decrease rain chances across the District today as high temperatures reach the upper 80's to low 90's on the plains with upper 70's to low 80's along the foothills.
-A weak disturbance will move in this afternoon resulting in a slight chance for a high based rain shower/isolated thunderstorm, with the largest threat being gusty wind and lightning. With westerly upper-level flow and surface dew points dropping into the upper 30's to low 40's today will result in a decreased chance for rainfall, although a brief isolated moderate rain shower cannot be completely ruled out, favoring eastern portions of the District.
-Best chance for storms today will be from 1-7pm with lingering weak showers possible until sunset before skies clear into the later evening. Overnight lows are expected in the low to upper 60's on the plains, with mid to upper 50's along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2" of rain in 10-30 minutes. A moderate thunderstorm could produce 0.2-0.5" in 10-30 minutes. Supplemental QPF is available at https://qpf.udfcd.org

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, slow moving thunderstorm formed off an outflow boundary has the potential produce up to 1.0" in 30-60 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: High-pressure starts to build over the region Friday resulting in generally dry conditions through the weekend. Temperatures will remain in the upper 80's to low 90's through Sunday. A very slight chance Saturday for a brief rain shower/isolated thunderstorms with little to no heavy rain threat at this time.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Arapahoe 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Boulder 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Broomfield 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Denver 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Douglas 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Jefferson 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Douglas 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Jefferson 100 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.