Time: 525 PM Wed July 15, 2020 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 10:00 pm.
-Thunderstorms to the S and SE of the District have pushed an outflow boundary northward that has entered the District from the S/SE. This outflow boundary is expected to continue to move N/NE and trigger new thunderstorms this evening.
-Thunderstorms that develop this evening will be vary capable of producing heavy rainfall. Strong thunderstorms may move slowly or erratically along surface boundaries with weaker storms moving from W to E at around 20-25mph.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong slow moving, large thunderstorm may produce up to 3.0" in 60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 600 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 600 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 545 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Boulder 600 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield 600 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (10%) ISSUED
Adams 545 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (10%) ISSUED
Denver 545 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM WED
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM WED
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM WED
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 600 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM WED
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM WED
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.