Time: 900 PM Sat July 31, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 2'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9PM
-Message 2's will be allowed to expire at 9:00pm as the threat for heavy rainfall over the District has ended. All previous Message 1 LIF's have also expired or will expire at 9:00pm. Now that temperatures are in the 60's precipitation will favor light to briefly moderate rain showers.
-Rain showers will continue possible well into the evening eventually ending from N to S. By around midnight generally dry conditions are expected into Sunday morning.
-Light rain showers this evening may produce minor runoff, excessive runoff is no longer anticipated.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers will produce a trace to 0.3" in 30-60 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A weak thunderstorm is able to develop with the potential to produce 0.4-1.2" of heavy rain in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arvada 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
DIA 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Denver County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Douglas County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM
Boulder County 2 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 60-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (5%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (25%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (5%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/