Time: 551 PM Tue July 2, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's issued for the entire District will continue valid until 10:00pm.
-After a round of moderate to heavy thunderstorms this afternoon, storm activity has largely decreased over the area. Current observations show additional shower and storm activity developing over Park, Jefferson, and Douglas Counties, which could move into the district during the next 1-3 hours.
-Moisture levels remain elevated across NE Colorado, but large-scale lift is starting to wane behind a disturbance aloft. The threat for heavy rainfall is decreasing, but we cannot rule out additional storms capable of moderate to locally-heavy rainfall.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts between 0.20-0.60" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm anchored to a boundary produces rainfall up to 1.90" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.6" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.6" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.6" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.6" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.