| Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District effective until 11pm this evening. A few isolated showers and weak thunderstorms have moved through the District today. Additional rounds of storms will be possible into the late evening with storm intensities likely increasing through the night as the upper-level disturbance moves overhead. The best chance for storms will be from now, through 11pm, with a slight chance Messages will need to be extended if strong storms continue into the overnight. Storm motions will be relatively brisk from west to east between 10-20mph, which should help limit point rainfall amounts. However, there is a good chance additional storms will develop along the outflow boundaries. These outflow storms will have the highest potential for heavy rainfall. Storm may also become severe today, with large hail, strong winds and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. |
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong stationary storm, or training of moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce up to 2.5” in under 60 minutes.
| County-specific Quantitative Precipitation Outlook |
Precipitation Time | 30-Minute Rainfall and % Probability |
Message Potential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plains | |||
| Adams |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Arapahoe |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Boulder |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Broomfield |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Denver |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Foothills above 6500ft | |||
| Boulder |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
1100 PM TUE |
0.5" (80%) to 1" (50%) to 1.75" (20%) |
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.