Time: 124 PM Sun August 14, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 10:00 PM.
-Thunderstorms have developed over the higher foothills to the W of the District and upper level steering winds will push these storms eastward with thunderstorms increasing withing the District between 2-3pm. Storms will be slow moving from W to E at around 10mph.
-Slow storm motions and better moisture to work with today will result in the stronger storms capable of producing heavy rainfall that may lead to excessive runoff. The stronger storms will likely be isolated with best chances W of I-25 and S of I-70 and in particular over the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving or briefly anchored strong thunderstorm may produce rainfall amounts of up to 2.0" in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 230 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 230 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 230 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 230 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (75%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (75%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (80%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (80%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Denver 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (80%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (80%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 PM
0.2" (80%) to 0.6" (40%) to 1.2" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.2" (90%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.2" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.2" (90%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.2" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.2" (90%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.2" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/