Time: 906 PM Thu May 30, 2024 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE UNTIL MIDNIGHT
An upper-level disturbance has moved into northern Colorado this evening creating a line of storms just north of the District. These storms will move SE between 10-15mph with additional storms possible off outflow boundaries into the later evening. Storm motions should help limit point rainfall amounts. However, erratic movement could produce longer lasting localized heavy rainfall. The largest threat of heavy rain will be a quick 0.5” in 10-20 minutes. Storms may also contain large hail up to 1.0” and gusty winds up to 60mph. Currently storms will favor north and northeastern portions of the District, with other storms potentially forming across other portions of the District as the night continues. Storms will start to dissipate by midnight, with the threat for heavy rainfall likely following suit.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical thunderstorms will produce rainfall of T-0.25” total in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong storms have the potential to produce heavy rainfall of 0.25" to 0.50” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Strong stationary, or training of thunderstorms has the potential to produce 0.50” to 1.00" total in under 30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (25%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/