Time: 752 PM Thu June 8, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until midnight.

Thunderstorms are prevalent over the Front Range foothills and upper level steering winds will push these storms onto the plains as the evening progresses. These thunderstorms may dissipate on approach but may also produce an outflow boundary, or a new trigger for thunderstorm development further eastward within the District. The scenario will play out over the next few hours…

Should a strong thunderstorm develop, it will be capable of producing heavy rainfall and hail. With the ground at or near saturation in many areas of the District it may not take as much rain to produce excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of 0.1-0.4”. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will produce rainfall rates of 0.4-1.0” in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving strong thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells may result in up to 1.8” of rain in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1159 PM 830 PM TO 1100 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/