Time: 615 PM Fri May 31, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MOISTURE INCREASING MORE THAN EXPECTED ACROSS THE DISTRICT THIS AFTERNOON
-A gust front has moved into the District from the north, bringing with it increasing low level moisture with dewpoints rising into the low/mid 40s across portions of the District.
-Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible through the evening. Although most storms should be on the weaker side, upper level steering flow is weak so moderate to brief heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out if a stronger storm manages to develop.
-The best chance of storms will be through the early evening hours before drying out later this evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical weak thunderstorms will produce rainfall of TR-0.2" in 10-30 minutes. Stronger thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A storm stalls over an area, resulting in heavy rainfall of up to 1.0" in 45-60 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Moisture will increase across the District on Saturday and Sunday, resulting in better chances for thunderstorms with heavy rainfall possible.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
Trace (95%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.