Time: 601 PM Sat July 17, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for Adams, Arapahoe, Denver, Douglas and Jefferson Counties until 9:30pm this evening.
-Thunderstorms are developing over central and eastern portions of the District currently and may be energized by a gust front approaching form the north. Currently storms are weak to moderate but may be intensified as the gust front from the N moves through over the coming hours.
-Thunderstorms will be nearly stationary or slow moving to the S at around 10mph. Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall that may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stationary strong thunderstorm may result in up to 1.5" of rain in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/