Time: 752 AM Thu July 20, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District effective until

Cooler and cloudy to start the day as a disturbance is poised to move over the District throughout the day today, through the evening with a slight chance for some overnight showers/isolated thunderstorms. Currently temperatures are in the low 60’s with highs expected in the upper 70’s to around 80 this afternoon. Dew points are currently elevated, in the mid to upper 50’s and will likely remain as the day progresses resulting in a good chance for isolated heavy rainfall today.

Showers and thunderstorms have already initiated over portions of the District and will likely continue through the afternoon and evening. The best chance for storm activity within the District will be from NOW through midnight, with a few lingering showers through the overnight, tapering off between 2-4am. Multiple rounds of showers/thunderstorms will be possible this morning, afternoon and evening.

Storm motions will be the typical W to E motions between 15-25mph which should help limit point rainfall amounts with some erratic storm movement possible off outflow boundaries. Storms may also contain large hail, strong winds, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning and possible an isolated land spout/weak tornado, mainly for eastern portions of the District, especially if temperatures increase into the 80’s.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers and thunderstorms will produce a 0.10-0.50” total, in 10-30 minutes. A moderate to strong thunderstorm will produce 0.50-1.00” total, in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm anchors off an outflow boundary, or training of
thunderstorms could potentially produce up to 2.0” total in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1100 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (70%) to 1" (35%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/