Time: 1112 PM Fri July 31, 2020 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT
-Message 1's issued for Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, and Denver Counties and will be allowed to expire at midnight.
-Strong thunderstorms to the N and NW has weakened upon approach to the District this evening. There has been weak to moderate thunderstorm activity over the District this evening but the heavier rainfall has remained to the N, with generally light to moderate rainfall observed with a nice lightning show.
-Additional fast moving rain showers and weak to briefly moderate thunderstorms will continue possible over the next few hours, ending from NW to SE, then dry conditions are expected for the remainder of the evening and overnight period.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers will produce a trace to 0.10". Weak to moderate thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm is able to develop in a cooling air mass with the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" of rain in 10-30 minutes. Supplemental QPF is available at https://qpf.udfcd.org

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (25%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (65%) to 0.1" (25%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Denver Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 200 AM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.