Time: 659 PM Mon May 6, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1 ISSUED FOR ADAMS COUNTY
-A Message 1 has been issued for Adams County and will be valid through 9pm.
-A strong/severe thunderstorm has developed over Adams County and is producing large hail and moderate to brief heavy rainfall. This storm will move to the NE at 20-25mph.
-Outflow from this storm may trigger additional thunderstorm development with the potential for Message 1's to be issued for other Counties.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An isolated strong/severe thunderstorm stalls along a wind convergence boundary and produces heavy rainfall of up to 1.4" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 830 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (100%) to 0.3" (80%) to 0.8" (60%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Boulder Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.