Time: 850 AM Tue June 2, 2020 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

WARM TODAY WITH A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
-Slightly cooler today as high temperatures reach the upper 80's to low 90's across the District. Currently a few isolated showers/thunderstorms are out on the eastern plains and will slowly dry out over the next few hours before additional storms begin to develop along the foothills around midday once again.
-Thunderstorms will first become possible over the foothills and Palmer Divide between 12-2pm. After 2pm thunderstorms will become more likely over the plains with best chances for thunderstorm activity through about 9 or 10pm this evening.
-Surface moisture will be relatively dry through the early afternoon with dew points in the upper 30's to low 40's. However, models indicate decent low-level moisture advection towards the northern portions of the District which could increase surface dew points into the upper 40's to low 50's. This increase in moisture has the potential to form thunderstorms with brief heavy rain favoring areas along the north and northeast portions of the District. Storm motions will be relatively fast from W to E between 10-20mph, which will limit point rainfall amounts.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.2-0.5" in 10-30 minutes

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A large strong thunderstorm or a slower moving strong thunderstorm will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes and up to 1.6" in 60 minutes or less.

A LOOK AHEAD: Similar conditions over the next few days as high temperatures remain in the mid 80's to low 90's. A continued chance through the weekend for afternoon and evening rain showers/isolated thunderstorms with chances increasing during the weekend.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Arapahoe 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Broomfield 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.5" (20%) LOW
Denver 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.5" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.5" (5%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.