Time: 145 PM Fri September 6, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District, valid until 8:30pm this evening.
-Showers and thunderstorms are moving off the mountains and higher foothills at this hour, ahead of an upper-level disturbance approaching from the W. Favorable ingredients exist for these storms to strengthen and expand in coverage as they transition to lower elevations.
-Rainfall will be efficient underneath strong storm cells, with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s and precipitable water near 1.00". Heavier showers and thunderstorm activity will dissipate early this evening behind the departing disturbance.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Stronger thunderstorms may produce rainfall amounts between 0.30-0.80" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong to severe thunderstorm or training of storm cells produces rainfall up to 2.50" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 830 PM 300 PM TO 730 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (55%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (85%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 830 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (65%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.