Time: 918 PM Fri July 31, 2020 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, and Denver Counties and will be valid until midnight tonight. Additional Message 1's maybe needed as the evening progresses.
-Thunderstorms have developed to the N and NW of the District and will be moving into the District shortly. Strong storms have a history of large hail and brief moderate to heavy rainfall. Storm motions of NW to SE at around 25mph will result in an heavy rainfall being brief but a quick 0.5"/10 mins is possible which may lead to excessive runoff roadways. Rainfall amounts of up to 1" are unlikely due to the fast storm motions and hail threat.
-Thunderstorms are expected to have exited the District by midnight with generally dry conditions after that time.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow moving strong thunderstorm or a very large thunderstorm may produce up to 1.6" in 45-60 minutes. Supplemental QPF is available at https://qpf.udfcd.org

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1115 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (55%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (55%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (55%) to 0.3" (35%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (5%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.