Time: 636 AM Fri May 12, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 2'S WILL CONTINUE VALID THROUGH NOON TODAY
Message 2's, coinciding with the NWS Flood Watch, will remain in effect until noon today. A Flood Advisory is in effect from NOW through 9am for SE Denver, western Arapahoe County, including Aurora, and all central and eastern Douglas County.

Moderate to heavy rainfall overnight has decreased to widespread light to briefly moderate rainfall this morning. However, even non-thunderstorm rain showers this morning, on top of saturated ground is resulting in continued isolated excessive runoff that is producing low end nuisance to moderate flood conditions across the District. Rain showers will continue to be persistent this morning and into the afternoon with typical rainfall rates of 0.1-0.3” in 60 minutes and upwards of 0.3-0.8” in 60 minutes if moderate showers continue over and area for an extended time. Although the intensity of the rain is not heavy compared to yesterday, the overall amount of continuous rain is producing flooding of local creeks and streams, and this will likely remain through the day today.

By noon today, showers should start to taper off with any additional rain showers gradually clearing out during the afternoon. Even though rain showers stop producing today, rivers, creeks and overflow waterways will still remain elevated into the evening hours and possibly through the overnight and into Saturday.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Light rain showers will produce rainfall rates of 0.1-0.3" in 60 minutes. Moderate to heavy non-thunderstorm rain showers will produce rainfall rates of 0.2-0.6" in 60 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Training of moderate rain rain showers or a weak to moderate thunderstorm has the potential to produce rainfall amounts of 0.5-1.5" in 30-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Jefferson County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Broomfield County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Douglas County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Adams County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Denver County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
DIA 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Arapahoe County 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
the City of Aurora 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Arvada 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Wheat Ridge 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM
Lakewood 2 Current TO 1159 AM Current TO 1000 AM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 60-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 AM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/