Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District effective until 800PM this evening. Favorable conditions exist across the district for widespread thunderstorm activity today, with dew points in the mid to upper 50s and broad upper level support. A few isolated showers have already initiated across the foothills and are starting to move east onto the plains. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely afternoon and into the late evening. The best chance for storms will be from now through 800PM, with a slight chance Messages will need to be extended if strong storms continue later than expected. Storm motions will be relatively brisk from west to east between 25-35 mph, which should help limit point rainfall amounts, though a slow-moving storm could result in heavy rains with runoff. Additional storms may develop along a gusty outflow or surface boundaries. These outflow or boundary storms will have the highest potential for heavy rainfall. |
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A large thunderstorm or briefly anchored strong thunderstorm may result in up to 2.5" of rain in 45-60 minutes.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.