Time: 832 PM Wed June 5, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
-Thunderstorms have developed through the day in and around the District with the stronger storms remaining over the foothills and areas N and S of the District up to this point. Now that sunset is approaching the threat for heavy rains will slowly decrease as temperatures cool.
-Scattered thunderstorms with rainfall rates commonly in the 0.1-0.3" range in 15-45 minutes with higher totals under stronger storm cells of 0.3-0.8"/hr. Rain from storms will still produce some minor runoff on roadways but should not be excessive. Some small hail is also possible from stronger thunder storm cells.
-Thunderstorm activity is expected to slowly diminish through 10-11 PM. Additional showers and weak thunderstorms will remain possible into the early morning hours on Thursday.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.3-0.7" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An anchored strong thunderstorm stalls, resulting in heavy rainfall of up to 1.8" in 45-90 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Thunderstorm activity is expected to be more isolated on Thursday but if a strong storm develops slow storm motions will continue the threat for heavy rainfall in isolated locations.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Arapahoe Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.