| Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District effective until 9pm. A few isolated storms have formed along the higher terrain west of the District and will move through the District over the next several hours before storm chances taper off after sundown. A couple of rounds of storms will be possible through the evening with a slight chance for a few off and on showers through the overnight. Storms will be hit or miss today, leading to some areas likely staying dry. A boundary has been set up along the eastern portion of the District which will be a focal point for stronger storm development heading into the late afternoon/early evening. Storm motions will typically be from west to east between 10-20mph, which should help limit point rainfall amounts. However, additional storms that form along outflow boundaries have the potential to stall out and bring moderate to heavy rainfall for an extended period of time. These storms will likely have the best chance of heavy rainfall leading to LOW IMPACT FLOODING with both threats of a quick 0.5” in 10-15 minutes. The best chance for stronger storms will be from the initial wave of storms, with subsequent waves of showers decreasing with intensity through the evening. |
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stronger, stalled out thunderstorm is able to develop and will have the potential to produce up to 2.50” total, in 45-60 minutes.
| County-specific Quantitative Precipitation Outlook |
Precipitation Time | 30-Minute Rainfall and % Probability |
Message Potential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plains | |||
| Adams |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Arapahoe |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Boulder |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Broomfield |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Denver |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Foothills above 6500ft | |||
| Boulder |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
900 PM WED |
0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%) to 1.5" (10%) |
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.