Time: 633 PM Mon July 15, 2024 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S WILL CONTINUE VALID UNTIL 10:00 PM
Message 1’s will continue to be valid until 10pm as the threat of heavy rainfall remains.

After a round of moderate to strong showers and thunderstorms for portions of the District, a few lingering showers persist toward the west. These showers will move into the District over the next few hours bringing some additional rainfall.

Temperatures have decreased behind the first round of showers, however, dew points have increased into the mid 50s for some areas after some good rainfall. These dew points will result in efficient rain producing showers into the evening with the possibility of a shower or two strengthening into a thunderstorm which will have good potential for moderate to heavy rainfall to continue.

Once this final round of showers moves through, a very slight chance for a few lingering showers after 10pm with skies gradually clearing through the overnight. Temperatures overnight will drop into the mid to upper 50s for the plains with low 50s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers and thunderstorms will produce a trace-0.25” total in 10-30 minutes. A moderate to strong shower/thunderstorm will produce 0.25-0.50” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong stationary thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells will have the potential to produce up to 1.00” total in 30-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 930 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (40%) to 0.25" (20%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.25" (25%) to 0.5" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.25" (25%) to 0.5" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.25" (25%) to 0.5" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/