Time: 412 PM Sun July 14, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's issued for the entire District will continue valid until 10:00pm.
-An early round of foothills showers and thunderstorms spread cloud cover over the District early this afternoon, curbing high temperatures by several degrees. The result was better stability than expected, and only isolated weak showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon period.
-Meanwhile, thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall focused well N and S of the District, over portions of Larimer and El Paso Counties. The threat for heavy rainfall is decreasing, but additional thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall remain possible through about 10:00pm.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate showers and thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts between 0.10-0.30" in 10-30 minutes. Stronger thunderstorms could produce rainfall between 0.30-1.00" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, slow-moving thunderstorm anchored to a convergence boundary results in heavy rainfall up to 2.30" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (35%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (85%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.0" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (85%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.0" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.0" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.0" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.0" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.