Time: 528 PM Mon July 15, 2019 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's will continue valid for the District through 10:00 PM.
-A strong round of thunderstorms moved through southwestern portions of the District this afternoon and storms continue to the north and east of the District as another round of storms begins to form along the foothills. This secondary round of storms should be less intense than the first round, however the threat for heavy rainfall will remain through 10:00pm this evening.
-Thunderstorm activity and the threat for heavy rainfall will diminish rapidly after sunset this evening, although an additional gust front could impact the District after sunset allowing for an additional chance for brief heavy rain.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts of 0.4-1.0" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm stalls along an outflow or wind convergence boundary and produces heavy rainfall of up to 2.0" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.0" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 1.0" (5%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.