Time: 430 PM Fri September 30, 2022 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-A gust front has initiated strong thunderstorm development for portions of the District.
-Moderate to heavy rainfall is likely especially areas east of I25 at this time. Best chance for heavy rain will be from now until 9pm.
-Rainfall rates between 0.2-0.4" already occurring with isolated heavier rainfall likely. These storms will continue over the next couple of hours as the move eastward.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers/isolated thunderstorms between a trace and 0.30". A moderate to strong thunderstorm could produce 0.30-0.0.60" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stronger slow moving thunderstorm has the potential to produce 0.6-1.6" in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/