Time: 754 PM Sat May 27, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S HAVE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9:30PM FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been extended until 9:30pm for the entire District.

Surface wind convergence resides over the District currently and is generating new thunderstorm development. Stronger thunderstorms may still produce moderate to brief heavy rainfall into the evening as well as hail and gusty winds. A large thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells will be the most likely culprits for extended periods of heavy rain over the next 1-2 hours. Typical storms will move from SW to NE at around 20mph, but stronger storms may move more slowly.

Thunderstorm activity is expected to decrease between 9-10pm and eventually move east of the District. If thunderstorms still persist past 9:30pm Message 1’s may be extended further.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.3" of rain. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.3-0.8” in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow moving strong thunderstorm or large thunderstorm cell may result in up to 1.5” of rain in 45-60 minutes

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arapahoe County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 319 PM TO 930 PM 330 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SAT
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/