A blocking pattern is in place over the continental US, positioning southwesterly upper-level flow across Colorado while low level moisture east of the Continental Divide remains heightened from yesterday's storms. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to low 80s, dew points in the mid 40s to around 50°F, through the afternoon and evening. These conditions will support an unstable environment, favorable for thunderstorm development across the area by the mid to late afternoon. Forecast soundings reveal bulk shear around 30 kt, which will be sufficient for multicell clusters and slow southwesterly storm motions. Heavy rain may persist for an extended period of time with special emphasis on areas east of I-25 around the convergence zone. Storms are expected to dissipate by the late evening hours. |
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Anchored or training thunderstorms have the potential to produce 1.00”-1.75” in 30-60 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Similar conditions are likely tomorrow as temperatures reach the upper 70s to low 80s followed by widely scattered afternoon to evening thunderstorms, with a potential for heavy rain once again. Looking ahead, the upper-level pattern remains in place through the weekend supporting high temperatures around 80°F and afternoon to evening showers and thunderstorms.
Location | Prime Time | 30-Minute Rainfall and % Probability |
Message Potential |
---|---|---|---|
Plains | |||
Adams |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (25%) | |
Arapahoe |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (90%) to 0.5" (60%) to 1" (25%) | |
Boulder |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (15%) | |
Broomfield |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (15%) | |
Denver |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (25%) | |
Douglas |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (90%) to 0.5" (60%) to 1" (25%) | |
Jefferson |
400 PM TO
1000 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (15%) | |
Foothills above 6500ft | |||
Boulder |
300 PM TO
900 PM |
0.25" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (15%) | |
Douglas |
300 PM TO
900 PM |
0.25" (90%) to 0.5" (60%) to 1" (25%) | |
Jefferson |
300 PM TO
900 PM |
0.25" (90%) to 0.5" (60%) to 1" (25%) |
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.