Time: 319 PM Fri September 3, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S CONTINUE VALID FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's will continue valid until 8pm although the threat for heavy rainfall is diminishing now that the main area of thunderstorms has pushed eastward.
-Additional isolated rain showers and weak to moderate thunderstorms remain possible over the next few hours but but the strength of storms is expected to be less intense than earlier today, however a stronger storm cannot be completely ruled out.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2" of rainfall in 10-30 minutes. Moderate thunderstorms will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall of 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm is able to develop with the potential to produce heavy rainfall of 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (60%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (80%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (60%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (60%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (60%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (80%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (80%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (50%) to 0.6" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM FRI
Trace (80%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.6" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/