Time: 934 AM Mon June 17, 2024 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

Areas of patchy fog this morning with breezy and dry conditions expected this afternoon.
Cool and foggy to start the day today. This cloud bank will quickly mix out as winds pick up by midday out of the southwest. Winds will pick up out of the south, turning southwest in the afternoon with gusts up to 30mph at times.

Currently dew points are in the low to mid 50s and will likely mix out into the low to mid 30s by midday. This will result in relative humility to drop to 10%, combined with gusty winds has resulted in a Red Flag Warning issued by the National Weather Service for today from 11am until 9pm.

High temperatures today will reach the mid 50s across most of the District with mostly clear skies during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures will drop into the upper 50s on the plains with low 50 along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected today or this evening.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: If high based showers/isolated thunderstorm can develop, only a trace to 0.10” of rainfall will be possible as most, if not all precipitation will struggle to reach the surface.

A LOOK AHEAD: This heat wave begins to recede tomorrow with the arrival of a weak cold front. Temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s with chances for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing by the afternoon. A few storms may become severe, producing gusty outflows exceeding 58 mph and/or hail greater than 1 inch in diameter, mainly for areas east of the District at this time. Storms are expected to continue into the evening, with a few isolated showers possible overnight. The active pattern continues Wednesday with another chance for afternoon and evening isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. A slight chance for moderate to brief heavy rainfall on Wednesday as an uptick in overall moisture will provide better potential for stronger storm development.

MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/