Westerly upper-level flow will dominate the region today as a weak ridge of high-pressure sits towards our south. This will lead to warm temperatures today in the mid to upper 80s across the plains with low to mid 80s along the foothills. A slight chance for widely scattered afternoon showers/isolated thunderstorms between 2-8pm with skies quickly clearing this evening. Storms today will likely be high based with minimal rainfall as temperature/dew point spreads likely between 40-50 degrees this afternoon as dew points drop into the low to mid 40s. If dew points struggle to mix out today, a slight chance for a few meaningful thunderstorms, favoring eastern portions of the District through the afternoon and evening. Mild and dry conditions are expected through the overnight with temperatures dropping into the low 60s on the plains with mid to upper 50s along the foothills.

STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers/weak thunderstorms will produce a trace-0.20” total in 10-30 minutes. A weak to moderate thunderstorm will produce 0.20-0.40” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm, or training of moderate thunderstorms has the potential to produce 0.40-0.80” total in under 60 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Similar conditions will be in place tomorrow as high temperatures reach around 90 degrees. A slightly better chance for afternoon/eve showers/isolated thunderstorms, with a couple of rounds possible. A better chance for showers/isolated thunderstorms Saturday, possibly with a LOW chance for Message 1’s to be issued as an uptick in moisture at the surface and upper level is likely.