Time: 1019 AM Thu August 8, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
-Cooler and moister air has moved into the District today resulting in below normal temperatures with highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's over the plains. Normal high for Denver today is 89 degrees.
-The additional moisture will help to fuel thunderstorms this afternoon, some of which will become strong to possibly severe. Thunderstorms that develop today will be very capable of producing heavy rainfall that may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding. Strong thunderstorms may also produce large hail and gusty straight-line winds in excess of 50mph.
-Best chances for thunderstorm activity will be from 1-9pm. Strongest storms will likely favor the plains versus the foothills. Storm motions will generally be from W to E at around 15mph but stronger storms may move more erratically.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.6" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will produce 0.6-1.4" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving large thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells may result in up to 3.0" in 90 minutes or less.

A LOOK AHEAD: Daily chances for thunderstorms with the potential for heavy rainfall will continue through the weekend.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Arapahoe 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Broomfield 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Denver 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Boulder 1230 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Douglas 1230 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Jefferson 1230 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 1200 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (25%) HIGH
Douglas 1200 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (25%) HIGH
Jefferson 1200 PM TO 900 PM
0.1" (95%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.4" (25%) HIGH
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.