Time: 415 PM Sat May 22, 2021 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE UNTIL 8PM
-Message 1's will continue valid until 8pm as additional rain showers/thunderstorms develop over the foothills at this time.
-Strong to severe storms that impacted the District this afternoon have moved N/NE and are no longer a threat to the District. Additional storms have developed to the west along the foothills and will slowly move N/NE and into northwestern portions of the District over the next few hours. Storm motions will continue to be fairly quick between 10-20mph which will also help limit point rainfall amounts.
-Storms have diminished in intensity at this time, but the threat still remains for brief heavy rainfall with a very slight chance for severe weather, including large hail, gusty winds and frequent lightning.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers and thunderstorms will have the potential to produce TR-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.7" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An anchored strong thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells may result in up to 1.5" of rain in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 800 PM Current TO 700 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.7" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.7" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.7" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/