Time: 843 PM Fri July 5, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's will continue valid for the entire District until 11:59pm.
-Strong to severe thunderstorms are now exiting the District to the north, with some weaker thunderstorms remaining across northern portions of the District. Additional thunderstorms will remain possible over the next few hours if outflow boundaries from storms outside the District push back into the District.
-The strongest storms have likely already occurred over the District, but moisture remains elevated with dewpoints in the 50s. Therefore additional thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rains. Storm activity will gradually diminish by midnight, but isolated showers and weak thunderstorms will continue possible into the overnight hours.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.5-1.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong/severe thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells results in heavy rainfall of up to 2.2" in 60 minutes or less.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1030 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (100%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.5" (45%) to 1.3" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.1" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.1" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.4" (40%) to 1.1" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.