Time: 709 PM Mon July 22, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID INTO THE EVENING
-Message 1's will continue valid through 10:00 PM although the threat for heavy rainfall is diminishing.
-Strong and severe thunderstorms impacted eastern and southern areas of the District this afternoon and early evening with generally quiet conditions over the District at this time. An outflow boundary from the earlier storms is pushing back to the NW and may initiate new thunderstorms over NW portions of the District that had minimal coverage so far today.
-If thunderstorms are able to develop over NW portions of the District later this evening ample surface moisture still in place will allow for storms to produce heavy rainfall. The most likely outcome is that minimal if any new development will occur but a low threat remains.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.4" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow moving strong thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells may result in up to 2.5" of rain in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (65%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1.2" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
Trace (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1.2" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.