Flash Flood Prediction Program

-	An upper level disturbance will move through the District today but with little moisture to work with along and W of the I-25 corridor any storm development will be high-based with minimal rainfall. Stronger thunderstorms are expected to remain well E of the District this afternoon.
-	Highs will reach the 70's to around 80 over the plains under a veil of partly to mostly cloudy skies. The chance for high-based showers and weak thunderstorms will be between the hours of 3-7pm. Gusty winds and sprinkles are the most likely outcome from storms today with most areas remaining on the drier side. Far E areas of the District will have slightly better chances measurable precipitation.
-	The US Army Corps of Engineers will be performing the annual Cherry Creek Dam sediment flush today and will result in a rise along Cherry Creek through Denver which may inundate bike paths at times. A Message 1 Cherry Creek Trail Flood Advisory will be issued for the exercise and will be valid from 9am to 7pm today.

STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical high based showers and weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.1" of rain. A stronger thunderstorm far eastern areas of the District will have the potential to produce 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Moisture levels remain elevated and strong to severe storms are able to develop further W than expected and result in 0.3-0.8" of rain in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: A cold front will move through tonight with highs on Thursday in the low to mid 70's over the plains. There will be a little better chance for isolated afternoon thunderstorms, mainly over the foothills and Palmer Divide.

Location	Prime Time	30-Minute Rainfall and % Probability	Message Potential
Plains
Adams	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)	NONE
Arapahoe	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)	NONE
Boulder	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.2" (5%)	NONE
Broomfield	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)	NONE
Denver	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)	NONE
Douglas	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.2" (5%)	NONE
Jefferson	300 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.2" (5%)	NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder	200 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)	NONE
Douglas	200 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)	NONE
Jefferson	200 PM TO 700 PM	Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)	NONE

MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.