Time: 904 AM Fri September 9, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

COOL AIR HAS ARRIVED! RAIN SHOWERS AND MIST/DRIZZLE TO FILL IN LATER AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
-After record breaking heat over the past few days, cooler air has arrived behind a cold front that moved through overnight. Temperatures today will only warm into the 50's in the Front Range foothills with readings in the 60's to around 70 degrees over the plains.
-Conditions will trend dry through much of the day but there will be a slight chance for a rain shower or very isolated weak thunderstorm this afternoon after 2 or 3pm. If a thunderstorm were to develop it would favor the foothills S of I-70 and over the crest of the Palmer Divide over Douglas County. Clouds will increase as the afternoon progresses with light rain showers and areas of mist/drizzle developing towards sunset. Light showers/mist/drizzle will fill in this evening and become widespread overnight as cooler air continues to filter into NE CO. Areas of fog may also develop overnight and persist into Saturday morning.
-The majority of the precipitation will be light with prime time for widespread shower activity from roughly 6 or 7pm this evening until midday Saturday. Total moisture will likely range from 0.10-0.30" into Saturday morning with isolated higher and lower amounts possible. Temperatures overnight will dip into the 40's over the plains
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and areas of mist/drizzle will produce rainfall rates of a trace to 0.2" in 60 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An isolated thunderstorm is able to develop with the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Cloudy and cool with light rain showers and areas of mist/drizzle through the first half of the day Saturday. Conditions will slowly dry out Saturday afternoon with dry conditions developing ahead of midnight. Temperatures Saturday will be even cooler than today in the 50's to around 60 over the plains with more cloud cover. Drier and warmer for Sunday.

Location Prime Time 60-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Arapahoe 500 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Douglas 500 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Adams 400 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Boulder 400 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Broomfield 400 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Denver 400 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Jefferson 400 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 AM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.2" (30%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/