Time: 626 PM Thu July 9, 2020 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE LIKELY AS BOUNDARY MOVES IN FROM THE EAST
-A moist, surface gust front/outflow boundary has moved into the District and is initiating thunderstorms over NE portions of the District currently. Dew points behind this front/boundary have increased into the low to mid 50's which will result in the threat for thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and possibly severe weather.
-The greatest threat currently is over E portions of the District but as the afternoon/evening wears on the storms may back-build towards the foothills. Some storms may anchor along gust fronts moving very slowly with upper level winds from the SW resulting in most storms moving from SW to NE at around 20-25mph.
-Message 1's may need to be issued shortly for E areas of the District and possibly further W as the evening wears on.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.4-0.9" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stationary strong thunderstorm may result in up to 2" of rain in 60 minutes or less.

A LOOK AHEAD: Conditions look to be dry across the District on Friday with temperatures reaching the upper 90's to around 100 degrees over the plains.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) HIGH
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (70%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (15%) HIGH
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) LOW
Denver Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (70%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (15%) MOD
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 0.9" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 0.9" (5%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 0.9" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (20%) to 0.9" (5%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.