Time: 1036 AM Sat June 3, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 11:59pm this evening.

Off and on showers have been impacting most parts of the District this morning and will continue before rainfall picks up into the afternoon. Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall is expected across the District, not only today, but likely over the next few days as an atypical pattern has emerged over the region. This pattern will result in storm motions to be nearly stationary at times, with waves of moderate to heavy rainfall resulting in a chance for over 1” of rainfall in under 60 minutes in some areas. Storm will generally move in from the east to west, with a good likelihood of showers both anchoring in place and training of moderate to heavy showers.

A few isolated thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out today, most likely in the afternoon hours if there is enough daytime heating. These shower and isolated thunderstorm chances will continue through the evening and possibly overnight and into Sunday. Sunday’s pattern doesn’t change with another good chance for rain showers throughout the day and with today’s rainfall, there will be higher chances for flooding throughout the day and into the evening hours.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate showers will produce 0.2-0.6” of rain in 30-60 minutes. Strong showers and weak thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.6-1.2” in 30-60 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A nearly stationary strong shower, training of moderate to heavy showers or weak to moderate thunderstorm may result in up to 2.4” of rain in under 60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1159 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 60-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (50%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (60%) to 1.2" (40%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (40%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
0.2" (100%) to 0.6" (75%) to 1.2" (40%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/