Time: 106 PM Fri June 7, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District until 9:00pm.
-Thunderstorms have developed across the District early this afternoon and are moving to the NE at 12-17mph. Some of the low level moisture has mixed out with dewpoints currently ranging from the upper 30s to mid 40s. However, moisture is expected to increase again as the afternoon progresses with strong thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rainfall.
-An upper level disturbance will arrive from the southwest later this afternoon, which should help to trigger additional thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. The best chance of thunderstorms will be through early evening, before tapering off mid to late evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.4-1.0" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, slow moving complex of thunderstorms produces up to 2.0" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 700 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.