Time: 924 AM Thu July 11, 2024 Forecaster: Laura Smith

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

Hot with isolated showers across the Foothills.
A slow-moving heat wave continues to intensify over the Four-Corners region, supporting hot, sunny, and mostly dry conditions throughout the week and into the weekend. Today will be mostly sunny with afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s. Dewpoints will be in the low to mid 30s with precipitable water (PWAT) values around 0.70”. These conditions will encourage dry weather with mostly sunny skies. A few isolated showers are possible along complex terrain later this afternoon and evening but are expected to dissipate before reaching the Plains.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms today have the potential to produce up to 0.10” in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm may be capable of producing 0.20” or more in 30 minutes or less.

A LOOK AHEAD: Friday will be hot and sunny with temperatures soaring into triple digits across the High Plains. Very little change to this pattern is expected Saturday as the heat wave remains firmly anchored over the Intermountain West. High temperatures will once again reach or exceed a scorching 100°F. Skies will remain clear, providing no relief from the extreme heat expected with this system. Broiling continues Sunday with afternoon highs expected to exceed 100°F once again. The heat wave begins to break down Monday, albeit slowly. Afternoon highs will be around 100°F, with cooler conditions expected Tuesday.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%) NONE
Douglas 200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%) NONE
Jefferson 200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
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