Time: 216 PM Mon June 28, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for Adams, Arapahoe, Denver, Douglas and Jefferson Counties and will be valid until 8pm this evening.
-Weak to briefly moderate thunderstorms over the foothills of Boulder County earlier today has produced a gust front that is pushing SE through the District and may be a trigger for stronger thunderstorms to develop later this afternoon. Since this gust front/outflow boundary has already passed Boulder and Broomfield Counties they are not included in the Message 1's at this time but may be added later this afternoon if conditions warrant.
-Moderate to strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall that may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding. Best chances for thunderstorms will be over the next 4-5hours.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A large or slower moving thunderstorm may result in up to 1.5" of rain in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 800 PM 245 PM TO 600 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) MOD
Broomfield Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) MOD
Denver Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) MOD
Douglas Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 800 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (60%) to 0.8" (30%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/